Beatpoly scores resolution risk, execution quality, cross-venue equivalence, and market integrity across event-contract markets — so professional teams know when to trade, cite, or monitor them.
We do not sell predictions. We score the reliability of other people's markets.
Prediction markets are becoming data infrastructure — embedded in newsrooms, cited in analysis, integrated into risk monitoring. But a 64% market price tells you almost nothing about whether that market is safe to use.
It could be thin liquidity, a single whale, an ambiguous resolution rule, a manipulable data source, or a price that moved before a public announcement because information was not yet broadly public.
Beatpoly adds the missing reliability layer.
See the platform →Every market gets a structured risk profile across four dimensions. Each score is machine-readable, updatable, and API-accessible.
We score source fragility, ambiguity of wording, single-point-of-failure risk, oracle vulnerability, dispute mechanism quality, and settlement timing. The most important — and most ignored — dimension in event-contract markets.
Resolution risk scoring →We model bid-ask spread, taker and maker fee impact, estimated slippage at size, fill probability, and effective edge after friction. Built to incorporate current Kalshi and Polymarket fee schedules, spread, depth, and slippage assumptions.
Execution analytics →We compare wording, resolution source, settlement timing, dispute mechanisms, and oracle type across venues. Most cross-venue "arbitrage" opportunities fail this test. We tell you which ones before you trade.
Cross-venue analysis →We detect large moves without public catalysts, new wallet clusters entering before announcements, concentrated positions, suspicious timing near data releases, and repeated pre-resolution behavior.
Integrity monitoring →Every score is available via REST API. Pull reliability data, resolution risk assessments, execution cost models, and integrity alerts directly into your workflow.
The public research library behind the intelligence engine. Research claims are separated from enterprise-grade methodology. Documented scores are published with assumptions, limitations, and update history. Built for analysts, not traders.
Resolution criteria, oracle design, source selection, and why the wording of a market is more important than its price.
Read → Cross-VenueFee structures, collateral mechanics, oracle design, API architecture, and why similar-looking markets on different platforms are often different bets.
Read → Market StructurePartition dependence, salience overreaction, recency bias, and overconfidence — with empirical evidence from 300,000+ contracts.
Read →The same market-structure research that powers our intelligence engine is available free in our education library. No bonuses, no hype — just the mechanics behind resolution risk, execution cost, market reliability, and event-contract structure.
Request API access for your team. We respond within 48 hours.