Three systems built on Polymarket's 72% NO resolution rate and 58% mean reversion pattern. EV of buying NO at 50c: +$0.22. Articles in production.
The 72% NO harvesting system, exploiting panic pricing, mean reversion after news spikes, and political market mechanics.
3 articles · INTERMEDIATE · Video breakdowns includedBuilding a repeatable income stream from the 72% NO resolution rate. Selection criteria, sizing rules, portfolio management. Buying NO at 50c = +$0.22 EV per contract before fees.
Identifying a Panic signal (20%+ move in under 2 hours), using Negative Serial Correlation to time entries, riding the 58% reversal rate back to fair value.
How narrative cycles overprice and underprice political contracts. Identifying structural mispricings before major events. Risk management for binary outcome markets with high variance.
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